Category: Betting
BMW Championship — DraftKings Fantasy Picks
Second to last tournament of the year, and with only 70 players, you gotta be sharp to win. Luckily, we know who to pick.
Jack’s Picks
Brendon de Jonge ($6,800)
Rickie Fowler ($10,700)
Jim Furyk ($10,000)
Ryan Palmer ($7,300)
Pat Perez ($7,200)
Robert Streb ($8,000)
The Wyndham Championship — DraftKings Fantasy Picks
Tiger is back! What do you think his salary will be? Probably not something you’re going to want to have on your team though.
Jack’s Picks
Theme for this week’s lineup is young players. Guys who have been looking at Jordan Spieth and thinking, “Why can’t I be that good?”.
Byeong-Hun An ($6,800) — Low price for a player who’s been tearing it up on the Euro tour. Former US Am champ coming to the US on sponsors exemption means low salary for quality of player.
Paul Casey ($9,200) — Been on a pretty good streak of playing well, and good result here last year. That’s the combo I’m looking for, even at 9.2k.
Patrick Rodgers ($9,000) — Another young player doing well, and hoping to make a move in the playoffs.
Ollie Schniederjans ($8,300) — I could copy what I wrote above for Rodgers here, but I’ll just tell you to look above and read again.
Justin Thomas ($9,400) — My predicted winner from the preview. Has experience here, and the desire to finally win, as well as make the President’s Cup. Not a stretch if he plays well.
Camilo Villegas ($7,100) — Defending champ at 7.1k? I’ll take every time.
Mike’s Picks
Coming soon…
PGA Championship — DraftKings Fantasy Picks
Time for the final major of the year, which means another million up for grabs on DK. Whether you’re a DFS golf pro, or you’ve just playing this for the first time, we got winning lineups here.
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Jack’s Picks
Majors mean that you’ll find players you’re used to having high salaries and deflated ones, which means opportunity if you can figure out who’s going to step up to the plate on the big stage for the first time. So much value, so I can’t justify going with Spieth when there are a ton of other great players below. Pumped for such a stacked lineup.
Justin Rose ($10,000) — Faltered a little on Sunday of last tournament, but he’s still gotta be a favorite, especially with the motivation after playing poorly.
Louis Oosthuizen ($9,100) — Dude’s finished T2 in the last two majors. Clearly he steps up for the big tournaments. Great deal at 9.1k.
Robert Streb ($6,800) — Going low here for a guy who’s primed and ready to play well. Hasn’t missed a cut in a while, and a 5th place finish at WGC Bridgestone last week was really a great finish considering the quality of the field. And yet, he really never got much airtime there. He’ll be highly owned because salaries for this came out before last tournament, and people have already been all over him.
Hideki Matsuyama ($8,000) — Speaking of making cuts, Hideki has missed one all year. Big time player, we’re still waiting for him to break out with a win, but no better week than right now.
Pat Perez ($6,000) — Here’s the steal of all time. What in the world is a guy who hasn’t missed a cut all summer (since March) doing at 6k?
Bubba Watson ($9,900) — Was in the playoff here last time in 2010, and he’s finished 2nd in his last two events. Pretty sure he wants to win. Only problem is I have to root for him now.
Mike’s Picks
Yay, major pricing! It makes you feel like everyone you pick is a great deal, and since all the top players are going this week at Whistling Straits we might as well load up on some big names and consistent cut-makers. After looking more closely, my six selections have missed only eight cuts all season.
Bubba Watson ($9,900) — He was my first pick in the draft and he’s my top-salaried guy here. Playing well and was solo second last time around at this venue. Doesn’t mean I have to like it.
Henrik Stenson ($9,700) — Now Stenson I like. Seems to be rounding into form at just the right time for the playoffs once again. Going to ignore the 2010 results because that was a dark time.
Matt Kuchar ($8,300) — Extremely consistent, if unspectacular year so far and was t10 five years ago here.
Jim Furyk ($8,100) — Coming in with back to back top-5’s and a solid t24 despite a disastrous final round previously at this venue.
Hideki Matsuyama ($8,000) — First timer at this course, but has the game to do well at Whistling. Once again I like his consistent play. It gives me reassurance.
Pat Perez ($6,000) — Like Jack, I feel like this must be a missed pricing. Either that or DK knows something we don’t. Perez has been a beacon of consistency in the last four months and only has three MC’s all season (none since March).
The Open Championship (British Open) — DraftKings Fantasy Picks
The third major of the year is upon us, and whether you call it the British Open, the Open Championship, DraftKings is having another millionaire maker. In honor of that, we decided to give away our picks here! Well, we give away lineups every week millionaire maker or not, but still, good picks to follow.
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Jack’s Picks
Criteria this week for me is 1) playing well (as always) and 2) Had at least some success at links courses. I feel like you’re going to get guys who hate links golf and that’ll never play well. So I want to eliminate them.
Louis Oosthuizen ($9,900) — Won at the course in the past, good result at the US Open too. Feel like he comes alive for the majors.
Ryan Moore ($7,200) — Clearly a good player, and one who’s had good results recently at the past couple Opens means he comfortable with the courses.
Ben Martin ($6,800) — Good player, playing well this year, and finished 26 last year at the Open, again, meaning he doesn’t hat links golf.
Russell Knox ($6,700) — From Scotland, and got into the Open by…playing well last week. If that isn’t an indicator to pick I don’t know what is.
Justin Rose ($10,900) — Always a contender in the majors recently, I’m a fan of his this week cause he’s familiar with these courses and has history playing well at the Old Course.
Brandt Snedeker ($8,300) — On a roll and made the cut in the past three Opens. Also played a practice round with Tom Watson and Ernie Els this week. Sure it doesn’t mean much, watching how those guys do it with all the Open wins between them can’t hurt.
Mike’s Picks
Been a tough run the past couple weeks, but going to turn it around at the oldest championship in all the land. The only criteria I’m using is my gut (and a quick peek at recent results and Open finishes). Let the turnabout commence.
Dustin Johnson ($11,400) — I really like DJ here. His otherworldly driving will give him a leg up and afford him more scoring opportunities than just about anyone else in the field.
Hideki Matsuyama ($8,500) — The dude plays, and it doesn’t seem to matter what the venue or field looks like either. Just a top 25 machine.
Branden Grace ($8,100) — Came up just short at the US Open, and had a top 20 this past week in Scotland. Looking for the form to continue this week.
Keegan Bradley ($7,400) — Pretty good string of cuts made (who cares about the Players). Another pretty long hitter and aggressive player that I think well-suits St. Andrews.
Tommy Fleetwood ($7,300) — Played well this past week in Scotland and his odds to win are quite high for where his salary is situated. Was really a gut pick until I checked out his recent Euro Tour play (which is very solid).
Joost Luiten ($7,100) — Not terribly sure why I like him this week. His recent play has been ok if unspectacular. Going to roll with him because I think he takes top 30.
John Deere Classic — DraftKings Fantasy Picks
One more event before the British Open, gotta make sure you know what you’re doing before the 3rd major of the year! Winning picks here.
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Jack’s Picks
Rough week last week with a couple big names missing the cut. Good value this week, and have to go with the guys that play well consistently at the JDC.
Chad Collins ($8,000) — Way under the radar, mostly because he’s got one of the most generic names on tour here. But Double C hasn’t missed a cut since March, and has finished better in his last 5 events than the previous one.
Patrick Rodgers ($8,000) — Got all the talent in the world and on a run.
Jordan Spieth ($13,700) — The number one player in the world with two healthy legs. Gotta go with him here, especially when there are a couple 6k values picks below.
Chris Stroud ($8,000) — Another at the 8k number, Stroud’s played well the last two events, and has made the cut at the JDC in the past. Hasn’t done particularly well, but that’s cause he wasn’t that good until this year.
Brian Stuard ($6,000) — Reaching a little low now without much money left. Stuard had more than a few decent events this year, and is worth more than his 6k price, especially considering his vegas odds to win are 150/1.
Hudson Swafford ($6,200) — Similar to Stuard, Swafford has played well in more than a few events, and is listed at 150/1 to win. Another good low player when spending all that money on Spieth.
Mike’s Picks
Ok, going a different route this week. Want to find the lowest priced player that I like to make the cut then go with a bunch of second tier guys (they’re all second tier this week with Spieth in the field).
Andres Gonzales ($5,700) — Ok, compared to the players priced around him he’s a tremendous value, but that doesn’t always mean it’s a good pick. But… he seemed to find his game last week after a month of pretty poor results and I think he keeps it going. This also gives me plenty of room salary-wise to pick some studs.
George McNeill ($8,600) — Great run of recent play barring the U.S. Open, which was different enough to ignore.
Steve Stricker ($9,300) — His course history is just too good for me to ignore and I had the money for either him or Harris English after 5 picks. Going with Strick.
Pat Perez ($8,800) — Really good string of play and combined with the weak field he’s definitely in the top tier of players in the in Iowa this week.
Shawn Stefani ($8,600) — I seem to always be considering him (or taking him), but seeing as his recent run of play has been almost as good as Perez’s it’s totally worth it.
David Hearn ($8,800) — His t2 last week and course history really seals this pick for me. He’s probably in the top 5 or 6 guys in the field that can actually win this week.
The Greenbrier Classic — Draftkings Fantasy Picks
Another tournament on the slog that is the PGA Tour. West Virginia and The Greenbrier Classic. Find out who to pick below, and follow @golfonthemind on twitter!
Jack’s Picks
Good picks for me last week, an MC by Matt Jones and a semi collapse by Scott Brown held back from being a really good lineup. Salaries this week look pretty tough, with not much wiggle room at the top.
Angel Cabrera ($6,900) — The defending champ under 7k? Granted, Angel makes about half the cuts it seems, and turns up for the big events. If he wants to play well, he can. And I think this week with him defending will be motivation enough to play well.
Morgan Hoffmann ($6,400) — This seems like a typo to be honest. He’s been playing well, with two made cuts in a row and hasn’t shown signs of playing badly recently. Why he’s suddenly listed at 6.4k is a mystery and I’m sure a bunch of people are going to take advantage of it.
Webb Simpson ($11,800) — Good finish last year and (obviously) a great player overall. He hasn’t played since the US Open, but he has the experience to not have to play every week to keep his game up.
Steve Stricker ($8,800) — Made the cut last year so he knows the course. Doesn’t really play much anymore, but he’s so consistent it doesn’t really matter. Funny to look at the salaries and see he’s the same price as Justin Thomas who has missed the last two cuts and is 21 years old. I’ll take Sticker.
Chris Stroud ($7,400) — Another guy playing well recently. 4th last year, 9th in 2010, means he knows the course. Good combo.
Brendon Todd ($8,500) — 4th last year (tied with Stroud) and 15th last week. That’s the magic combo. Worth the higher salary than Stroud since he’s a little better overall and has proven he can win.
Mike’s Picks
Pretty tragic picks last week, managed to not cash despite picking the winner. Looking to rebound at the Greenbrier with some solid plays. Like Jack I was surprised with some of the pretty low values, but looking to take advantage of them.
Patrick Reed ($11,100) — Very consistent this season, my pick to win since Bubba won last week and back-to-back wins are a rarity.
J.B. Holmes ($10,800) — Closeish to home this week for J.B. I love his style of play for this course.
Brendon Todd ($8,500) — Solid season going and t4 here last week. Hope his Twitter spat doesn’t have him off his game.
Shawn Stefani ($7,000) — Slightly off his earlier season form, but at this price I feel he’s a solid play to make it to the weekend.
John Peterson ($6,400) — Ok, so he has been a bit off recently, but still a good value.
Brian Stuard ($6,100) — Has made his past three cuts and has a 6th place finish here in his last attempt (2013).
Travelers Championship — Draftkings Fantasy Picks
Done with the US Open, and no more million dollar contest for a month until the British Open. All for the better probably because of how top loaded the payouts are. But we have a whole slate of others here to play this week out in Hartford!
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Jack’s Picks
Crappy picks last week, not going to sugar coat it. I picked the wrong high salaried players. Working on a rebound this week. Just so everyone here knows, I actually use this lineup on DK. Not just trying to make people pick bad players.
Scott Brown ($6,800) — My boy Scotty B. below 7k? I’ll take it. Good showing in Memphis, and his only MC in the past few months was the difficult Memorial. He doesn’t have great course history, with a bad finish two years ago (almost DFL), and barely MCd last year, but then again, he wasn’t good until this year! I’ll take a player playing well over course history as well.
Matt Jones ($7,400) — Bunch of made cuts in a row (ok, only 4) and a T3 in Memphis. Made the cut here last year. In the 7k range is exactly what I’m looking for.
Harris English ($9,400) — Made the cut last year here, so he knows the course, and also playing well besides not playing the US Open. This is always a testy price range since you need these players to finish well, not just make the cut. Might make a change here before Thursday morning though. Right now, good pick.
Zach Johnson ($9,100) — After realizing that ZJ is 300 less than Harris, I made the switch. Besides the Open, where he played alright and made the cut, he’s been 17, 19, 13, and 5 in the 4 starts before. Harris is good, but he has one win in his career. ZJ is the way to go over Harris this week.
Carl Pettersson ($7,100) — Made three cuts in a row, and finished T7 last year. At 7.1k, good pick.
Patrick Rodgers ($7,500) — I’m going with it. His recent finishes showing that he’s got what it takes. Pretty low salary for talent level. Hoping he practiced in his week off instead of spending his money.
Bubba Watson ($11,800) — Hate to do it, but he’s the pick this week. Given the course history, and having one of the lowest salaries for the most expensive player, I think I’m going to have to root for Bubs. T6, T14, 1, T38 (slacking), T2, 4, T31 from 2008 to 2014. Yeah, everyone’s going to pick him, and you should too probably.
Mike’s Picks
Not great picks of the U.S. Open, but kind of what I expected since it was a crapshoot (except for Spieth) for the most part. Back to normal pricing this week so I’m looking to find those cheap good options that’ll allow me to pick some of the best players in the field.
Bubba Watson ($11,800) — The odds on favorite this week with his course history. Hoping he can bring back the form that he showed earlier in the season.
Russell Knox ($8,400) — A bit of a high price for him, but with this field it still seems like it’s below market, especially considering his recent play.
Justin Thomas ($7,900) — Always looking for Justin to make a lot of birdies. He’s been pretty consistent and hopefully he can shake of the 76 he had a couple weeks ago to MC at the Memorial.
Matt Jones ($7,400) — Love his price for the upside and even more because of his consistent form this season.
Jerry Kelly ($7,100) — I’m still high on Kelly even though he missed the cut in his last event. Very solid play the last couple months, he seems to be putting together another quietly solid season.
John Peterson ($6,900) — Hoping John can find his game after a couple weeks off. Two bad starts in a row after an extended hot-streak, time off may have been just the thing he needed to get back into the swing of things.
THE PLAYERS Championship — Draft Kings Picks
After a week off from betting (we’re calling it the All-Star Break), DFS Golf kicks back up with a great field at the Players! See who you should pick below.
Preview here.
Jack’s Picks
Well I’ve been slacking a little with two weeks of losses before the All Star Break last week. But we’re back in a situation like the Masters with a great field where you’re going to find good players with cheaper prices. Instead of looking for cheap guys to play well, we’re looking for good guys who are going to win. Little different mindset, but in the end, it’s just picking players.
Jason Day ($9,900) — Actually picking him as a winner here. Not often I do this but I’m really liking Day to win, not just play well.
Zurich Classic of New Orleans — DraftKings Picks
A weaker field than normal means that you’re going to have to find value in underrated players. Not a problem for us here at GOTM where finding value is what we do every week! Its time for Zurich, the Classic, not the city.
Check out the preview here.
Jack’s Picks
Back down to earth with a losing week last week. So I guess I’m 7/9 in the 50/50s. I’ve noticed that pretty much every other site out there just gives suggestions on who to play, but never a full lineup. I’m not like those cop out fakers, I’ll tell you who I’m playing even if I lose. Gotta be real with all 20 of the people who read this.
Same strategy as every week here. Get players to make the cut. No matter 50/50 or GPP, 6 out of 6 players make the cut means you’re making money.
Russell Knox ($7,700) — Came in clutch last week for me, though wasn’t enough to make me a winner. But still, playing solid for a while is just what I’m looking for at this price.
Martin Laird ($7,500) — Hasn’t missed a cut in 2015. Not the best course history, but I’m sticking with players who are playing well.
Shell Houston Open — Draft Kings Picks
Texas once again before the Masters! For those who haven’t read our picks before, we don’t lose. Just an fyi.
Jack’s Picks
With only 4 players of mine making the cut at the Valero (tough after having 4 of them in the super windy Thursday morning wave), I was expecting to not cash this week. But after Jimmy Walker put on a clinic and destroyed the field, and my other three players all under par on Sunday, I coasted to wins in all 4 of my contests. I’m 6/6 with the picks I post for free here, looking to go 7/7! Quick note, the first 4 guys here were pretty much obvious picks (I start with lower salaries first usually). The last two really took some thinking, and a little wavering. I feel like there could be a bunch of combinations of final two guys that would work, but these are (obviously) my two best guesses now.
Jason Kokrak ($8,800) — T7, T6, and T11 in the past three weeks. He’s playing well, very likely that he’s going to make the cut, so perfect play. And oh yeah, pretty sure I mentioned that he was going to play well last year (check out the bottom of that article). Granted, looks like he played badly at the Golf Club of Houston and missed the cut. Good thing I don’t put too much stock in past results.