Beating Vegas Week 3 – Wells Fargo Championship

Week 3 of our attempt to continually beat Vegas begins on a high note (at least for Jack) considering . With a stronger field than last week, it’ll take a different mindset to pick the winners at the Wells Fargo Championship. To the picks!

Jack “goes to sleep at 9 o’clock” S’s Picks

I’m currently sitting here rolling in fake money. No matter if I spend all my money on booze and hookers in Vegas, I’ll still be ahead at the end of 10 weeks. $10 on a 110/1 shot sure helps. Soon You’ll Know has already put me over the top! Hopefully by the end of this week, Wells Fargo can ship me some more money after I win again! Big money, no whammies.

Chris Stroud: (95/1): $20

Nicholas Thompson (210/1): $10

Sang-moon Bae (170/1): $10

Phil Mickelson (15/1): $15

Ben Martin (55/1): $10

Zach Johnson (30/1): $15

Matt Jones (65/1): $10

William McGirt (210/1): $10

Mike “still thinks Yuni Betancourt is a good baseball player” M’s Picks

Rory McIlroy: (13/2): $15

Justin Rose: (18/1): $15

Ryan Moore: (35/1): $15

Webb Simpson: (40/1): $15

Bill Haas: (45/1): $10

Will Mackenzie: (95/1): $10

Nicolas Colsaerts: (140/1): $10

Lucas Glover: (150/1): $10

Not going to over-think it with a flyer win last week. What I am going to do is stick to my strategy that worked for week 1: pick several solid players regardless of odds and add in a few guys who probably won’t win but the odds they are given are too juicy to refuse. This week I can honestly say there might be 80 guys in the field that could win, and with the course changes I don’t have much of a clue. Rory has been solid here in the past, as has Ryan Moore. Justin Rose is coming off a top ten last week and I could see him doing similar if not better this week. Simpson and Haas are both semilocals and though I’m a little put off by recent performances the odds were right. The last three are flyers, I feel like the odds for them were better than they should be. Probably won’t win, but that’s ok.

Grant “gets mad when Jason Derulo doesn’t announce himself at the beginning of a song” F’s Picks

The diversification of risk approach from the past week failed miserably so this week I utilized an innovative strategy of pumping a large amount of funds into Rory. He is the heavy favorite and I am betting him hard to win this. This strategy is particularly appealing because I lack faith in some of the other top guys (Phil and Rickie). Once again, the picks are based much more strongly on gut than other , more tangible strategy.

Rory McIllroy (13/2) – $35

Lee Westwood (16/1) – $15

Ryan Moore (35/1) – $10

Gary Woodland (40/1) – $10

Bill Haas (40/1) – $10

Jamie Donaldson (65/1) – $5

George McNeill (110/1) – $5

Sang Moon Bae (170/1) – $10

Could Sang Moon Bae be any more undervalued?!?!

 

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